Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.036689 0.042709 0.049402 0.057396 0.066686 0.077144 0.089815
2025-11-16 0.026926 0.034684 0.044208 0.056764 0.072892 0.092931 0.119756
2025-11-23 0.021207 0.029511 0.040507 0.056138 0.077813 0.106851 0.148798
2025-11-30 0.017929 0.026580 0.038768 0.057201 0.084414 0.123195 0.182831
2025-12-07 0.015100 0.023643 0.036339 0.056591 0.088154 0.135596 0.212595
2025-12-14 0.012721 0.020911 0.033675 0.055029 0.089951 0.144993 0.238732
2025-12-21 0.010839 0.018623 0.031291 0.053422 0.091240 0.153478 0.264221
2025-12-28 0.009799 0.017540 0.030651 0.054492 0.096921 0.169593 0.304254
2026-01-04 0.008796 0.016358 0.029653 0.054750 0.101140 0.183618 0.342350
2026-01-11 0.007926 0.015279 0.028671 0.054856 0.105016 0.197387 0.381619
2026-01-18 0.007269 0.014499 0.028112 0.055634 0.110172 0.214005 0.428232
2026-01-25 0.006777 0.013964 0.027933 0.057088 0.116756 0.234022 0.483905
2026-02-01 0.005952 0.012668 0.026140 0.055163 0.116500 0.240916 0.514697
2026-02-08 0.005403 0.011867 0.025237 0.054943 0.119715 0.255201 0.562820
2026-02-15 0.004893 0.011078 0.024254 0.054413 0.122181 0.268193 0.609863
2026-02-22 0.004576 0.010665 0.024015 0.055458 0.128192 0.289444 0.677908
2026-03-01 0.004166 0.009988 0.023106 0.054870 0.130435 0.302645 0.729329
2026-03-08 0.003737 0.009208 0.021868 0.053355 0.130321 0.310462 0.769103
2026-03-15 0.003356 0.008490 0.020680 0.051798 0.129888 0.317455 0.807778
2026-03-22 0.003172 0.008235 0.020562 0.052835 0.135930 0.340615 0.889636
2026-03-29 0.002960 0.007878 0.020152 0.053086 0.140023 0.359495 0.963106
2026-04-05 0.002759 0.007526 0.019707 0.053188 0.143746 0.377891 1.037780
2026-04-12 0.002608 0.007285 0.019519 0.053943 0.149290 0.401645 1.130033